Showing posts with label Making Decisions and Choices. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Making Decisions and Choices. Show all posts

Friday, March 11, 2011

Seven steps to better brainstorming

A. Plan
1. Know your organization’s decision-making criteria
Likewise, what constitutes an acceptable idea? At a different, smarter bank, workshop planners collaborated with senior managers on a highly specific (and therefore highly valuable) definition tailored to meet immediate needs. Good ideas would require no more than $5,000 per branch in investment and would generate incremental profits quickly. Further, while three categories of ideas—new products, new sales approaches, and pricing changes—were welcome, senior management would balk at ideas that required new regulatory approvals.  
2. Ask the right questions
Decades of academic research shows that traditional, loosely structured brainstorming techniques (“Go for quantity—the greater the number of ideas, the greater the likelihood of winners!”) are inferior to approaches that provide more structure.1 The best way we’ve found to provide it is to use questions as the platform for idea generation.
It’s easier to show such questions in practice than to describe them in theory. A consumer electronics company looking to develop new products might start with questions such as “What’s the biggest avoidable hassle our customers endure?” and “Who uses our product in ways we never expected?” By contrast, a health insurance provider looking to cut costs might ask, “What complexity do we plan for daily that, if eliminated, would change the way we operate?” and “In which areas is the efficiency of a given department ‘trapped’ by outdated restrictions placed on it by company policies?”2
3. Choose the right people
choose participants with firsthand, “in the trenches” knowledge.
B. Execute 
1. Divide and conquer - The real action
To ensure fruitful discussions like the one the catalog retailer generated, don’t have your participants hold one continuous, rambling discussion among the entire group for several hours. Instead, have them conduct multiple, discrete, highly focused idea generation sessions among subgroups of three to five people—no fewer, no more. Each subgroup should focus on a single question for a full 30 minutes. Why three to five people? The social norm in groups of this size is to speak up, whereas the norm in a larger group is to stay quiet.

When you assign people to subgroups, it’s important to isolate “idea crushers” in their own subgroup. These people are otherwise suitable for the workshop but, intentionally or not, prevent others from suggesting good ideas. They come in three varieties: bosses, “big mouths,” and subject matter experts.

The boss’s presence, which often makes people hesitant to express unproven ideas, is particularly damaging if participants span multiple organizational levels. (“Speak up in front of my boss’s boss? No, thanks!”) Big mouths take up air time, intimidate the less confident, and give everyone else an excuse to be lazy. Subject matter experts can squelch new ideas because everyone defers to their presumed superior wisdom, even if they are biased or have incomplete knowledge of the issue at hand.

By quarantining the idea crushers—and violating the old brainstorming adage that a melting pot of personalities is ideal—you’ll free the other subgroups to think more creatively. Your idea crushers will still be productive; after all, they won’t stop each other from speaking up.

Finally, take the 15 to 20 questions you prepared earlier and divide them among the subgroups—about 5 questions each, since it’s unproductive and too time consuming to have all subgroups answer every question. Whenever possible, assign a specific question to the subgroup you consider best equipped to handle it.
2. On your mark, get set, go!
After your participants arrive, but before the division into subgroups, orient them so that your expectations about what they will—and won’t—accomplish are clear. Remember, your team is accustomed to traditional brainstorming, where the flow of ideas is fast, furious, and ultimately shallow.

Today, however, each subgroup will thoughtfully consider and discuss a single question for a half hour. No other idea from any source—no matter how good—should be mentioned during a subgroup’s individual session. Tell participants that if anyone thinks of a “silver bullet” solution that’s outside the scope of discussion, they should write it down and share it later.

Prepare your participants for the likelihood that when a subgroup attacks a question, it might generate only two or three worthy ideas. Knowing that probability in advance will prevent participants from becoming discouraged as they build up the creative muscles necessary to think in this new way. The going can feel slow at first, so reassure participants that by the end of the day, after all the subgroups have met several times, there will be no shortage of good ideas.

Also, whenever possible, share “signpost examples” before the start of each session—real questions previous groups used, along with success stories, to motivate participants and show them how a question-based approach can help.

One last warning: no matter how clever your participants, no matter how insightful your questions, the first five minutes of any subgroup’s brainsteering session may feel like typical brainstorming as people test their pet ideas or rattle off superficial new ones. But participants should persevere. Better thinking soon emerges as the subgroups try to improve shallow ideas while sticking to the assigned questions.
3. Wrap it up
By day’s end, a typical subgroup has produced perhaps 15 interesting ideas for further exploration. You’ve been running multiple subgroups simultaneously, so your 20-person team has collectively generated up to 60 ideas. What now?

One thing not to do is have the full group choose the best ideas from the pile, as is common in traditional brainstorming. In our experience, your attendees won’t always have an executive-level understanding of the criteria and considerations that must go into prioritizing ideas for actual investment. The experience of picking winners can also be demotivating, particularly if the real decision makers overrule the group’s favorite choices later.

Instead, have each subgroup privately narrow its own list of ideas to a top few and then share all the leading ideas with the full group to motivate and inspire participants. But the full group shouldn’t pick a winner. Rather, close the workshop on a high note that participants won’t expect if they’re veterans of traditional brainstorming: describe to them exactly what steps will be taken to choose the winning ideas and how they will learn about the final decisions.
C. Close
1. Follow up quickly
Decisions and other follow-up activities should be quick and thorough. But the odds that concrete action will result from an idea generation exercise tend to decline quickly as time passes and momentum fades. communicate the results of the decisions quickly to everyone involved, even when an idea was rejected. While it might seem demoralizing to share bad news with a team, we find that doing so actually has the opposite effect. Participants are often desperate for feedback and eager for indications that they have at least been heard. By respectfully explaining why certain ideas were rejected, you can help team members produce better ideas next time. In our experience, they will participate next time, often more eagerly than ever.
 
Courtesy McKinsey & Company:. Read full article here:
https://www.mckinseyquarterly.com/Strategy/Strategy_in_Practice/Seven_steps_to_better_brainstorming_2767

 
 




Wednesday, December 30, 2009

41 Questions and 1 Personality

A good personality finder:

http://www.41q.com/


MY RESULTS: http://www.41q.com/type.41q?p=13677636

Your personality type: "Social Realist"


Warm-hearted, popular and conscientious. Tend to put the needs of others over their own needs. Feel strong sense of responsibility and duty. Value traditions and security. Interested in serving others. Need positive reinforcement to feel good about themselves. Well-developed sense of space and function.

Careers that could fit you include:

Home economics, nursing, teaching, administrators, child care, family practice physician, clergy, office managers, counselors, social workers, bookkeeping, accounting, secretaries, organization leaders, dental assistants, homemakers, radiological technologists, receptionists, religious educators, speech pathologists.

Friday, October 30, 2009

Consumer Behavior Analysis - Part - 2

In the second lecture, Mr Thaler,  progenitor of behavior economics and esteemed professor at Chicago Booth decision research center, opened-up the discussion with a concept. He orchestrated a website (conceptually) that would read disclosures from various companies like credit cards and cell phone companies. The website will be a hub to research and select best service or product per individualized needs. His assumption was that every company should provide two electronic files as a part of disclosure. One that would enlist under what conditions will the fees be charged and give all the formulas for how fees will be calculated. The second would enlist all the charges levied on that customer's account. These files together will be crunched by the website to analyze customer's usage. Further, a compiled list of disclosures from various companies would allow the website to suggest which company would better fit a particular customer's needs. cool, isn't it? But, wait a minute...

Who is going to enforce that companies provide this disclosure? Even if government regulates this, who will ensure that disclosures are comprehensive and meet a particular standard. Fine, these problems are easy. But, why companies would not try to obscure? After all, they are there to make profits!

To this, Mr Thaler argued that market will ultimately regulate these companies. Citing example of Amazon and eBay, he stressed that if this website's CEO is smart and a company tries to camouflage information or refuse to cooperate, then this website can put a black spot against this company. Nobody wants to lose customers that way. But, questions were raised about brand reputation and trust that a brand builds over the years. Why would someone believe this website when he has 4 to 5 years of experience with this company. Mr Thaler then took the discussion into a broader arena stating, its interesting when is it in the interest of companies to obscure information and does that help or hurt customer. Companies are driven by repeat business. After several discussion around why hotels do not state parking charges etc the discussion took a different direction.

What is perceived value of a product and how to evaluate historic value of a product? Historic value is the value of the product at the time of purchase when it has been experienced by customer for some time. This is where all the reviews on a company or products come into picture. Imagine a genuine customer goes to Bestbuy to buy a digital camera. He is flooded with options that he do not even know how to comprehend, bar compare. It is often seen that consumer would buy a product that has more options than the one with less. He uses them or not is a separate story. There were other examples of how consumer creates a translation of features that can't be valued and everyone has his own translation. Further, it was demonstrated that the sequence in which the features (choices as well) are presented to the customer decides if he is going to chose this product or not.

The gist of the story was that when you buy products, you should look for options that matters to you most and then compare them and that is it. You should try to eliminate products one by one and not zero down to few and then chose one. Make a list of your must haves in sequence. Then, if you want something and this product is less in that feature than the other, drop it!

Sunday, October 25, 2009

Sway - Irresistibly Irrational Behavior

We all get swayed by our beliefs, prejudices and the way we perceive situations around us. We form believes from our life experiences and use those believes to assess our surrounding. For example, we often leave items on sale just because the price is too low. This is driven by our inner feeling that reduced items are often defective or not liked by many.We sometimes even pick the item, like it, but then get swayed thinking that it on sale so there has to be something wrong with it. I myself value clothing based on its brand. A CK shirt has to be good but Aeropostale...I tend to wear it at home. This is an irrational behavior as there are plenty of companies who manufacture equally good products as known brands and tag them much lower. The end result is that I usually pass those items paying extra for the same quality to CK.


Other situations that sway us frequently relates to avoiding short term loss. We frequently cross road on yellow light or change lane quickly to save few seconds. This results in getting a ticket, higher insurance for few years and in some cases collision and loss of life. A similar situation is sticking to a sinking stock that you recently purchased. We all tend to wait for it to re-bounce to atleast the original purchase price. In this chase, we disregard pieces of information that are clearly indicating that this is a loser stock now. As the stock goes down further, we think that its going to come back to the value it was sitting when you made the nasty decision of keeping it for now. The desire to recover loss does not end until no value is left in the stock.


In all the examples above, the point is that we form instincts that become hindrance to our rational thinking. We take decisions in the influence of such instincts, disregarding facts and information that may be indicating otherwise. Such a behavior leads to making wrong choices. When we have to decide, we should take a long term view and see how the decision/choice that you are about to make fits into the long term view. Imagine you had sold the stock when it lost $2 to purchase something that gained $3 in next couple of weeks when your stock lost another $4.


Checkout this book: Sway: The Irresistible Pull of Irrational Behavior

Friday, October 23, 2009

Consumer Behavior Analysis - Behavioral Economics?

Prof Richard Thaler from Booth school of business gave a very good lecture on why study of consumer behavior is important to understand economics. He further explained how feedback and choice architecture streamlines what consumers choose. Some of his examples, such as a thermostat that tells you how much more it is going to cost per degree change in temperature or a glowing bulb that tells you how much energy you are using, are intriguing. I also liked the idea of credit card machines. I think these examples provoke thoughts around general problems around us and economically viable solutions for them.

The basic idea is to understand the best interest of consumers and markets together and develop policies (choice architecture) around it. Consider the choice of donating organs example. If you provide a choice to the survivors of a person, they are likely to override the default option beating the whole purpose of default (of having more donations). Making a decision clear at some point (at the time of issuing drivers license for organ donation example) helps.

I was not very convinced with the solutions provided for dealing with compliance with medication. Even though non-adherence to some treatment schedules could be impacting all of us (like antibiotic or TB treatments), I don't think a lottery or false alert alone are the solutions. I think a pill box that can learn patient's behavior and present a combination of these (i.e. false alert, incentive or just a reminder) could be one expensive solution. Another way could be that the doctor enforce a choice when patient is diagnosed i.e. a box with particular attribute is given to the patient based on doctor's perception of the patient behavior. I think making doctor a choice architect may work.

Read the full story here: http://edge.org/3rd_culture/thaler_sendhil08/class1.html

Wednesday, October 21, 2009

Decision Theory

So, how do you feel about this: If you are an atheist, you are at loss.

According to Pascal, if God exist then the rewards of believing in God are numerous (contrary to not believing). If he does not exist, then neither theist nor atheist lost or gained anything.

Confused? Well, I was more confused when I started to read about decision theory. I am not going to get into lecture on decision theory (I'll not be able to anyway). But, I learned that decision theory is about making a choice (Decision!) under uncertainty.

Today I felt as if I usually make wrong judgment calls - joining a start-up right before economy started to doom or selling dollars after $ moved from its 52 week high!  When I look at the other side of it, benefits from joining start-up (not going into personal details) were huge too. But that good feeling that comes when benefits are availed has passed. Now, challenges of a start-up (bench time, furlough days) are beefing up and throwing me back to the days when I made that choice.

As per veterans, decisions should be well informed. However, most of the times decisions are to be made in uncertain circumstances. I recently read Micheal Useem's book "The go point". The book clearly delineated the process of making decisions with illustrations and practical examples and is a must read. However, now I am looking for something that can tell me how to evaluate decisions you took five or ten years back. Lets see what decision theory has in its kitty...